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Ferenc Miskolczi: The stable stationary value of the Earth’s IR optical thickness
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Author Archives: Dr. Ed
Collapse of IPCC’s AGW theory, Part 1
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by Kyoji Kimoto, kyoji@mirane.co.jp
Figure 1. IPCC’s AGW theory is a fictitious science with three erroneous components. Continue reading
Collapse of IPCC’s AGW theory, Part 2
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Evidence for Predicting Global Cooling for the Next Three Decades
by Prof. Don J. Easterbrook, Global Research, November, 2008
INTRODUCTION
Despite no global warming in 10 years and recording setting cold in 2007-2008, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climatic Change (IPCC) and computer modelers who believe that CO2 is the cause of global warming still predict the Earth is in store for catastrophic warming in this century. IPCC computer models have predicted global warming of 1° F per decade and 5-6° C (10-11° F) by 2100 (Fig. 1), which would cause global catastrophe with ramifications for human life, natural habitat, energy and water resources, and food production.
All of this is predicated on the assumption that global warming is caused by increasing atmospheric CO2 and that CO2 will continue to rise rapidly. Continue reading
The Limits of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Effects and Control
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by Bryce Johnson
Abstract
The interactions of the fossil-fuel source of carbon dioxide with the atmosphere as well as in the total biosphere are analyzed. The time dependence of resulting carbon levels and temperatures in all components of the biosphere are determined under a full range of possible insertion and depletion rates to and from the atmosphere as carbon dioxide. The three most significant findings follow:
- There is no rate at which such man-produced carbon can be inserted into the atmosphere that will result in a harmful temperature rise before the total inventory of carbon in the world’s fossil-fuel reserves has been depleted, at which point CO2 and temperature increases cease.
- Man’s efforts at reducing atmospheric carbon are ineffective. The same natural forces that inhibit increases in the atmosphere also inhibit decreases. The total carbon content of the remainder of the biosphere and its exchange rate with the atmosphere overwhelm whatever man can do to alter the atmospheric level;
- The natural temperature feedback from carbon dioxide increase in the atmosphere is predominantly negative (acting to diminish further increase). There is no possibility of an unstoppable runaway reaction.
The obvious conclusions from these findings are that there is no need to reduce man-made carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and such an attempted reduction would be completely futile even if there were a need. Continue reading
Regarding Thermodynamics and Heat Transfer
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Why Al Gore’s Comments to Bill O’Reilly at Fox News Are Wrong
by Chuck Wiese, Meteorologist, Weatherwise, Incorporated, Portland, Oregon
(PDF here. Earlier version on WUWT here.)
From a meteorologist’s perspective, nothing is worse than to see atmospheric science trashed by the likes of Al Gore, who is a self-proclaimed expert in this area, but has had no formal training from any accredited university and constantly makes incorrect and unprovable assertions about “human caused” climate change.
The latest revelation came on February 2, 2011, when Mr. Gore eagerly answered a questioning of the accuracy of Gore’s past claims about climate from Bill O’Reilly from the Fox News Channel since much of the central and east coast of the US have had a cold and snowy winter. Gore told O’Reilly that the snowstorms of this winter were part of the pattern of changing climate expected by scientists and result from the warming earth air masses with more moisture were running into a patch of cold air. Gore claimed:
“These warmer air masses (which Gore claims result from human carbon emissions that create atmospheric CO2) act like a sponge to moisture and soak it up until they hit a patch of cold air.”
Gore then claims that this “extra moisture” contained in the warmer air causes more intense precipitation and thus heavier snowfall, and is all consistent with a warming earth. Continue reading
Monckton: Global Warming Fallacies
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Roberts: “Climate Change is Simple”
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David Roberts or Grist.org promotes the IEA climate change religion in his video:
Roberts uses the International Energy Agency (IEA) as his key data source. Eco-alarmists quote IEA to justify Obama’s climate change policy. Continue reading
Temperature trend for Continental United States
Winter (Dec-Feb) 1997 – 2012 Average = 34.07 degF
Winter (Dec-Feb) 1997 – 2012 Trend = -1.99 degF / Decade
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/cag3/cag3.html
NCDC Climate Services and Monitoring Division at ncdc.orders@noaa.gov
Snow and Ice Cover on December 16, 2012
NCDC Climate Services and Monitoring Division at ncdc.orders@noaa.gov
Pacific Northwest summer temperatures fell rapidly in last 8 years – contradict Global Warming predictions
by Ed Berry
Global warmists stand by their predictions that USA Pacific Northwest summer temperatures are going up at 0.5 F per decade. The problem is 8 years of data show the temperatures are going down at -3.06 F per decade.
When data contradicts predictions, good scientists stand with the data and dispose of their hypotheses. But pseudo scientists like the global warmists ignore the data and continue to preach their predictions. They brainwash their students and delude the public.
You can check this data for yourself on Obama’s and Jim Hansen’s NOAA website: Continue reading
7th International Conference on Climate Change
The Heartland Institute’s Seventh International Conference on Climate Change (ICCC-7) will take place in Chicago, Illinois from Monday, May 21 to Wednesday, May 23, 2012 at the Hilton Chicago Hotel, 720 South Michigan Avenue. The event will follow the NATO Summit taking place in Chicago on May 19–21.
The limits of carbon dioxide’s influence on world temperature
by Bryce Johnson
Foreword
Proponents of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) hold that mankind causes the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) by burning fossil fuels and that without urgent measures to reduce its increase it will cause a runaway temperature increase within a few decades that will have unacceptably severe consequences to mankind. This article addresses the limits of the ability of fossil-fuel consumption to increase atmospheric CO2 level and on its associated temperature increase. Primary findings are summarized in the following paragraph: Continue reading
Inconvenient truth of IPCC’s AGW theory
Body Blow To German Global Warming Movement!
by P Gosselin, NoTricksZone
“THE CO2 LIES … pure fear-mongering … should we blindly trust the experts?”
That’s what Germany’s leading daily Bild (see photo) wrote in its print and online editions today, on the very day that renowned publisher Hoffmann & Campe officially released a skeptic book – one written by a prominent socialist and environmental figure.
This is huge. More than I ever could have possibly imagined. And more is coming in the days ahead! The Bild piece was just the first of a series. Continue reading
Two Roots of IPCC’s Errors
by Kyoji Kimoto (e-mail kyoji@mirane.co.jp)
1. Model studies by Manabe et al.
Climate sensitivity is 0.5K from the global energy budget of the earth, and it is 0.8K from the data analysis of Pinatubo eruption. However, IPCC claims that most probable value is 3K with the range of 2.0-4.5K. The following two roots exist for IPCC’s overestimation of climate sensitivity:
(1) Cess’s mathematical error in 1976 being followed by many researchers (see the previous post IPCC’s overestimation of climate sensitivity.)
(2) Overestimation by 1D RCM study in [Manabe et al. 1964/67](see Figure1) Continue reading
IPCC’s overestimation of climate sensitivity
by Kyoji Kimoto (e-mail kyoji@mirane.co.jp)
1. Climate sensitivity from the energy budget of the earth
Figure1 is a diagram of global energy budget of the earth based on the latest study [Trenberth et al., 2009]. From the figure, natural greenhouse energy is calculated as follows to produce natural greenhouse effect of 34K.
Natural greenhouse energy:
Eb-Es = 333W/m2-78W/m2=255W/m2 (1)
Then, climate sensitivity factor is obtained as follows including climate feedbacks.
Climate sensitivity factor:
34K/255W/m2 = 0.13K/(W/m2) (2) Continue reading
The stable stationary value of the Earth’s global average atmospheric infrared optical thickness
by Ferenc Miskolczi
Presented by Miklos Zagoni
EGU2011 Vienna
Conclusions
According to the simple-minded or ‘classic’ view of the greenhouse effect the global average greenhouse temperature change may be estimated by the direct application of the Beer-Lambert law moderated by local or regional scale weather phenomena (R. Pierrehumbert, A. Lacis, R. Spencer, R. Lindzen, A. P. Smith, H. deBruin, J. Abraham et al., J. Hansen et al.,and many others)*. This is not true.
The greenhouse effect is a global scale radiative phenomenon and cannot be discussed without the explicit quantitative understanding of the global characteristics of the IR atmospheric absorption and its governing physical principles.
The dynamics of the greenhouse effect depend on the dynamics of the absorbed solar radiation and the space-time distribution of the atmospheric humidity. The global distribution of the IR optical thickness is fundamentally stochastic. The instantaneous effective values are governed by the turbulent mixing of H2O in the air and the global (meridional) redistribution of the thermal energy resulted from the general (atmospheric and oceanic) circulation.
References Continue reading
Wood is correct: There is no Greenhouse Effect
Repeatability of Professor Robert W. Wood’s 1909 experiment on the Theory of the Greenhouse (Summary by Ed Berry. Full report here or here.)
by Nasif S. Nahle, June 12, 2011 Continue reading
More carbon dioxide cools, not warms, the earth
Determination of the Total Emissivity of a Mixture of Gases Containing 5% of Water Vapor and 0.039% of Carbon Dioxide at Overlapping Absorption Bands.
by Nasif S. Nahle, from the PDF (see general description here)
Professor and Director of Scientific Research Division at Biology Cabinet Mexico
Abstract
This assessment is a review of the common AGW argument on carbon dioxide increasing the potential of water vapor for absorbing and emitting IR radiation as a consequence of the overlapping absorption/emission spectral bands. I have determined the total emissivity of a mixture of gases containing 5% water vapor and 0.039% carbon dioxide in all spectral bands where their absorptivities-emissivities overlap. The result of these calculations is carbon dioxide attenuates the total absorptivity-emissivity of water vapor, working like a coolant, not a warmer of the atmosphere and the surface. Continue reading